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Increase HP awareness over time #143

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merged 6 commits into from
Oct 24, 2024

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charlotte-avery
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@charlotte-avery charlotte-avery commented Oct 24, 2024

Increase HP awareness over time:

  • Initial HP awareness at t=0 defined as input using arg heat-pump-awareness
  • Add intervention heat-pump-awareness which, when applied, increases the number of agents that become HP aware over time
  • Add input argument heat-pump-awareness-intervention-factor to specify how quickly the heat pump awareness increases over time
  • This factor defines the probability that a given agent, which is not already 'heat pump aware' becomes 'heat pump aware'. Note that the probability increases each year throughout the simulation, and thus the number of 'heat pump unaware' agents decreases year on year in this intervention.

Update BUS funding cap:

  • 'Standard BUS': £237.5M until 2028.
    --> BUS horizon is 1 Jan 2024 (beginning of simulation) - Apr2025. Assuming £200M Apr 2024-2025 (see announcement) + £37.5M Jan-Apr 2024 given that we assume 2024 had a £150M funding cap.
  • 'Extended BUS': £5.45B until 2035
    --> Assuming £250M 2024-’25 + £1.54B 2025-’28 (see announcement) + £515M PA 2028-2035.

- Initial HP awareness at t=0 defined as input using arg `heat-pump-awareness`
- Add intervention which, when applied, increases the number of agents that become HP aware over time
- This is achieved using a sigmoid probability function to determine the probability of a given agent becoming heat pump aware if they are not already
@charlotte-avery charlotte-avery marked this pull request as ready for review October 24, 2024 10:10
- Reduce standard BUS grant cap since we are now starting the simulation in 2024 (r.t. 2022)
- Increase the funding cap for the extended BUS based on gov announcement: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/families-business-and-industry-to-get-energy-efficiency-support
@charlotte-avery charlotte-avery force-pushed the intervention-increase-hp-awareness-over-time branch from bd1034b to 53b956d Compare October 24, 2024 12:56
For the HP awareness intervention, the probability that an agent becomes heat pump aware increases linearly with time.
shengy90
shengy90 previously approved these changes Oct 24, 2024
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Approved with 1 comment

Set rate of increase of heat pump awareness as input argument to the model: `heat-pump-awareness-intervention-factor`, for heat pump awareness intervention scenarios.
@charlotte-avery charlotte-avery force-pushed the intervention-increase-hp-awareness-over-time branch from 225c619 to 257536c Compare October 24, 2024 14:38
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LGTM

@charlotte-avery charlotte-avery merged commit 29147c1 into main Oct 24, 2024
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@charlotte-avery charlotte-avery deleted the intervention-increase-hp-awareness-over-time branch October 24, 2024 14:59
charlotte-avery added a commit that referenced this pull request Oct 24, 2024
charlotte-avery added a commit that referenced this pull request Oct 24, 2024
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2 participants