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<a class="navbar-brand" href="index.html">COVID-19 Portal <span class="d-none d-md-inline"><span class="divider"> | </span><span class="subtext-brand">Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases</span></span><span class="subtext-brand d-md-none"> | (CEID)</span><span class="subtext-brand d-none d-md-inline">, University of Georgia</span></a>
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Tracking
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<a href="tracker.html">Tracker: Cases, Deaths & Hospitalizations (World, US states, US counties)</a>
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Models & Research
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<a href="stochastic.html">Stochastic Model for Wuhan (China)</a>
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<h1 class="title toc-ignore">CEID COVID-19 - US Nowcast</h1>
</div>
<p id="disclaimer">
</p>
<div id="section" class="section level2 tabset tabset-fade">
<h2 class="tabset tabset-fade"></h2>
<p><small>The nowcast provides an estimate of the total number of COVID-19 cases circulating in the community and not known to us. The nowcast estimates uses the current case and death notifications to estimate the number of infections present at an earlier time, then forecasts forward to the present. Forecasting is automated and dependent on changing data. Close to the present, the nowcast provides a rough estimated range for the current outbreak size. The nowcast includes a correction for underreporting of cases based on reports of fatalities, which are considered much more reliable than case reports. The nowcast provides insight into the current size of the COVID-19 pandemic as well as the trend in the size. The US national and state level nowcasts are currently updated every Friday.</small></p>
<div id="us-nowcast" class="section level3">
<h3>US Nowcast</h3>
<small>Please be patient while the data are loading. This may take up to a few minutes.</small>
<div id="preloader">
</div>
<iframe src="nowcast-US-cases.html" width="672" height="400px" data-external="1" id="nowcast-case-reports" scrolling="no" width="100%">
</iframe>
<script>iFrameResize({ log: false }, '#nowcast-case-reports')</script>
<!-- <script>reloadOnVisible('nowcast-case-reports')</script> -->
<!-- ### US Nowcast from fatalities -->
<!-- ```{r echo=FALSE, out.extra='id="nowcast-fatalities" scrolling="no" width="100%"'} -->
<!-- knitr::include_url("nowcast-US-fatalities.html") -->
<!-- ``` -->
<!-- <script>iFrameResize({ log: false }, '#nowcast-fatalities')</script> -->
</div>
<div id="about-the-nowcast" class="section level3">
<h3>About the Nowcast</h3>
<iframe src="nowcast-US.html" width="672" height="400px" data-external="1" id="nowcast-algorithm" scrolling="no" width="100%">
</iframe>
<script>iFrameResize({ log: false }, '#nowcast-algorithm')</script>
<script>reloadOnVisible('nowcast-algorithm')</script>
</div>
<div id="us-ascertainment-rate" class="section level3">
<h3>US Ascertainment Rate</h3>
<iframe src="nowcast-US-ascertainment.html" width="672" height="400px" data-external="1" id="nowcast-ascertainment" scrolling="no" width="100%">
</iframe>
<script>iFrameResize({ log: false }, '#nowcast-ascertainment')</script>
<script>reloadOnVisible('nowcast-ascertainment')</script>
</div>
<div id="validation-with-data-from-china" class="section level3">
<h3>Validation with data from China</h3>
<iframe src="nowcast-validation.html" width="672" height="400px" data-external="1" id="nowcast-validation" scrolling="no" width="100%">
</iframe>
<script>iFrameResize({ log: false }, '#nowcast-validation')</script>
<script>reloadOnVisible('nowcast-validation')</script>
</div>
</div>
<div id="supplemental-information" class="section level2">
<h2>Supplemental Information</h2>
<div class="container-frames">
<p>Parameters for the US are on at <a href="http://covid19.uga.edu/parameters">covid19.uga.edu/parameters</a></p>
<!--Preprint: [download]() -->
<p>
<a href="https://github.com/CEIDatUGA/ncov-nowcast" taget="_blank"> <img src="images/GitHub-Mark-64px.png" id="github-icon" alt="GitHub repository"/> GitHub repository (public) </a>
</p>
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<p><small><strong>External Resources:</strong></small><br><br>
<small>
<!-- LINKS TO EXTERNAL RESOURCES HERE -->
<a href="https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019" target='_blank'>WHO</a> 
<a href="https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/" target='_blank'>CDC</a> 
<a href="https://www.mobs-lab.org/2019ncov.html" target='_blank'>Northeastern University</a> 
<a href="https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6" target='_blank'>Johns Hopkins University</a> 
<a href="https://nextstrain.org/ncov" target='_blank'>Nextstrain</a> 
<a href="https://covid-measures.github.io" target='_blank'>Long‑Term Intervention Strategies</a> 
<a href="https://covidtracking.com/" target='_blank'>COVID Tracking Project</a> 
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html" target='_blank'>NY Times Map & Case Count</a>
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